Hurricane Warningissued October 9 at 10:00AM CDT by NWS Mobile ALWhat this means
Island water shutoff at noon today (10/9/26)Okaloosa Island water and sewer shut off starting at noon today (10/9/26). Store water and fill bathtubs now.Full advisory
8 alerts in effect:
  • Hurricane IsaiasFull advisory
  • Storm Surge WarningWhat this means
  • Tropical Cyclone Local StatementWhat this means
  • Tropical Cyclone Local StatementWhat this means
  • Tropical Cyclone Local StatementWhat this means
  • Flood WatchWhat this means
  • Rip Current StatementWhat this means
  • High Surf WarningWhat this means
Weather & conditions

Hurricane Isaias

Advisory 012, issued Oct 9, 10:00 AM · National Hurricane Center

Next intermediate advisory at 1:00 PM CDT

Sustained winds
120mph
Pressure
959mb
Moving
NNE at 16 mph
Center
28.2N 87.2W

Forecast track

National Hurricane Center five-day forecast cone for Hurricane Isaias. Advisory 012. Center near 28.2N 87.2W, moving NNE at 16 mph.

The cone shows the probable path of the storm's center. It does not show the size of the storm, and hazardous conditions can occur outside it.

In effect for Okaloosa County

Hurricane Warning

From Oct 9, 10:00 AM · through Oct 9, 6:00 PM

Hurricane Warning issued October 9 at 10:00AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

Read the full statement
National Weather Service · Hurricane Warning
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Destin
- Eglin AFB
- Fort Walton Beach

* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Cat 2 Hurricane force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 90-110 mph with gusts to 135 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: until early Saturday
morning
- Window for Hurricane force winds: early this evening until
early Saturday morning

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind
greater than 110 mph
- The wind threat has increased from the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane
force or higher.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts should solely focus on
protecting life. The area remains subject to catastrophic
wind damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from life-threatening wind.
Be ready to move to the safest place inside your shelter if
necessary.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.

* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 6-9 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: through Saturday morning

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 6 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge flooding
of greater than 6 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: All ordered evacuations should be complete.
Evacuees should be in shelters well away from storm surge
flooding.
- ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture
outside. Move to upper floors to escape rising water if
necessary.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.

* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally
higher amounts

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major
flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are
likely.
- PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially
if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches
may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover
escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some
weakened or washed out.

* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is favorable for tornadoes

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include the
potential for several tornadoes.
- PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the
latest tornado situation.
- ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter
if a tornado warning is issued.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few
spots of considerable damage, power loss, and
communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped
or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed
about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- For evacuation and shelter information, please refer to:
- Okaloosa County EMA: 850-651-7150 or myokaloosa.com/emergency-management
- For storm surge threat graphics and other storm impacts:
- NWS Mobile: www.weather.gov/mob

Reproduced in full from the National Weather Service.

Storm Surge Warning

From Oct 9, 10:00 AM · through Oct 9, 6:00 PM

Storm Surge Warning issued October 9 at 10:00AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

The National Weather Service issued the same statement for this as for the Hurricane Warning above.

Tropical Cyclone Local Statement

From Oct 9, 10:24 AM · through Oct 9, 6:30 PM

Tropical Cyclone Local Statement issued October 9 at 10:24AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

Read the full statement
National Weather Service · Tropical Cyclone Local Statement
HLSMOB

This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

**CENTER OF ISAIAS EXPECTED TO REACH THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
COAST THIS EVENING**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
Warning for Choctaw

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, Mobile
Central, Mobile Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa
Coastal
- A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Baldwin Inland, Conecuh,
Covington, Escambia, Escambia Inland, Mobile Inland, Okaloosa
Inland, and Santa Rosa Inland
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Butler, Choctaw,
Clarke, Crenshaw, George, Greene, Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Perry, Stone, and Wayne

* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 210 miles south-southeast of Mobile AL or about 190 miles
south of Pensacola FL
- 27.7N 87.3W
- Storm Intensity 120 mph
- Movement North-northeast or 25 degrees at 16 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Major Hurricane Isaias is moving towards the north-northeast near 16
mph toward the north central Gulf Coast. Isaias is expected to still be
a damaging hurricane when it makes landfall this evening. It is
important not to focus just on the center as the wind field will
expand by landfall, resulting in the potential for significant wind
impacts and a life threatening storm surge along and to the east of
where the hurricane makes landfall. In addition, strong wind gusts are
expected to develop west of the center across extreme southwest
Alabama this afternoon into the early evening hours, with gusts in
excess of 80 mph possible.

Peak storm surge inundation of 6 to 9 feet above normally dry ground
is possible along the coast of the western Florida panhandle.
Evacuation orders have been issued by some coastal counties and you
should check with your local emergency management agency for the
latest information.

Those in the hurricane warning need to prepare for damaging hurricane
force winds of 74 to 110 mph, potentially stronger, especially across
coastal Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle. The strongest winds
will occur near and just to the east of the center. Potential impacts
from these winds include numerous downed trees and power lines,
significant power outages, and some roof damage. Tropical storm force
winds will spread well inland with hurricane force gusts likely into
south central Alabama as the center of Isaias quickly moves north.

Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are expected across southwest
ALabama, south central Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle.
Localized amounts of 10 to 12 inches are possible in bands across the
Florida Panhandle and near the center track of the storm. Areas of
flooding are likely if the higher amounts are realized, with
considerable impacts possible. In addition, there is an increasing
risk for tornadoes as early as this afternoon and into tonight east of
where the central Isaias tracks. The greatest threat will be across
the western Florida Panhandle and south central Alabama.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible extensive
impacts across the coastal portions of the western Florida panhandle
and Alabama. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding
accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings,
with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating
debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
- Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
- Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many
small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...south central
Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible devastating
impacts across western Florida Panhandle, portions of southwestern
Alabama and portions of south central Alabama. Potential impacts in
this area include:
- Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete roof
and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Damage
greatly accentuated by large airborne projectiles. Locations
may be uninhabitable for weeks or months.
- Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places.
- Widespread power and communications outages.

Also, protect against life-threatening wind having possible limited
to extensive impacts across inland southeast Mississippi, far inland
southwest Alabama, and south central Alabama.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across all of southwest and south central Alabama
and the western Florida panhandle. Potential impacts include:
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited
to significant impacts across interior southeast Mississippi.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across northwest Florida and south central Alabama. Potential
impacts include:
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across southwest Alabama.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Evacuation orders have been issued across some coastal counties.
Follow the advice of local officials and check with local emergency
management for the latest information.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible.
Allow extra time to reach your destination. Many roads and bridges
will be closed once strong winds arrive. Check the latest weather
forecast before departing and drive with caution.

Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.

Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or mobilecountyema.gov
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or myescambia.com/beready
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or myokaloosa.com/emergency-management
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 4 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

Reproduced in full from the National Weather Service.

Tropical Cyclone Local Statement

From Oct 9, 7:35 AM · through Oct 9, 3:45 PM

Tropical Cyclone Local Statement issued October 9 at 7:35AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

Read the full statement
National Weather Service · Tropical Cyclone Local Statement
HLSMOB

This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

**ISAIAS BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE**
**PREPARATIONS WITHIN THE STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE WARNING AREAS SHOULD BE
COMPLETED WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, Mobile
Central, Mobile Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa
Coastal
- A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Baldwin Inland, Conecuh,
Covington, Escambia, Escambia Inland, Mobile Inland, Okaloosa
Inland, and Santa Rosa Inland
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Butler, Clarke,
Crenshaw, George, Greene, Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Choctaw, Perry, Stone,
and Wayne

* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 260 miles south of Mobile AL or about 240 miles south of
Pensacola FL
- 27.0N 87.7W
- Storm Intensity 110 mph
- Movement North-northeast or 20 degrees at 15 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Isaias is now a major hurricane as it accelerates toward the
north central Gulf Coast. Some weakening of the peak winds is possible
just prior to landfall. However, Isaias is expected to still be a
dangerous hurricane at landfall this evening across either coastal
Alabama or the western Florida Panhandle. It is important not to focus
just on the center as the wind field will expand by landfall, resulting
in the potential for significant wind impacts and a life threatening
storm surge along and to the east of where the hurricane makes landfall.

Peak storm surge inundation of 6 to 9 feet above normally dry ground
is possible near and to the east of where the center makes landfall.
Evacuation orders have been issued by some coastal counties and you
should check with your local emergency management agency for the
latest information.

Those in the hurricane warning need to prepare for damaging hurricane
force winds of 74 to 110 mph, especially across coastal Alabama and
the western Florida Panhandle. The strongest winds will occur near and
just to the east of the center. Potential impacts from these winds
include numerous downed trees and power lines, significant power
outages, and some roof damage. Tropical storm force winds will spread
well inland with hurricane force gusts likely into south central Alabama
as the center of Isaias quickly moves north.

Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are expected across southwest
ALabama, south central Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle.
Localized amounts of 10 to 12 inches are possible in bands across the
Florida Panhandle and near the center track of the storm. Areas of
flooding are likely if the higher amounts are realized, with
considerable impacts possible. Several rivers across the region are
forecast to reach moderate flood stage with the potential of some
rivers reaching major flood stage. In addition, a favorable environment
for tornadoes will also develop to the east of the track as it moves
inland Friday night through early Saturday morning. The greatest threat
will be across the western Florida Panhandle and south central Alabama

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible extensive
impacts across the western Florida panhandle portions of coastal
Alabama and coasts. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding
accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings,
with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating
debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
- Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
- Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many
small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive
impacts across the western Florida Panhandle and portions of
southwest Alabama. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across interior southwest Alabama.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across all of southwest and south central Alabama
and the western Florida panhandle. Potential impacts include:
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited
to significant impacts across interior areas of southwest and south
central Alabama.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across northwest Florida and south central Alabama. Potential
impacts include:
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across southwest Alabama.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Evacuation orders have been issued across some coastal counties.
Follow the advice of local officials and check with local emergency
management for the latest information.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible.
Allow extra time to reach your destination. Many roads and bridges
will be closed once strong winds arrive. Check the latest weather
forecast before departing and drive with caution.

Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.

Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or mobilecountyema.gov
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or myescambia.com/beready
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or myokaloosa.com/emergency-management
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 10 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

Reproduced in full from the National Weather Service.

Tropical Cyclone Local Statement

From Oct 9, 4:31 AM · through Oct 9, 12:45 PM

Tropical Cyclone Local Statement issued October 9 at 4:31AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

Read the full statement
National Weather Service · Tropical Cyclone Local Statement
HLSMOB

This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

**ISAIAS STRENGTHENING**
**PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION AS THE WEATHER WILL
GO DOWNHILL QUICKLY TODAY**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, Mobile
Central, Mobile Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa
Coastal
- A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Baldwin Inland, Conecuh,
Covington, Escambia, Escambia Inland, Mobile Inland, Okaloosa
Inland, and Santa Rosa Inland
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Butler, Clarke,
Crenshaw, George, Greene, Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Choctaw, Perry, Stone,
and Wayne

* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 300 miles south of Mobile AL or about 290 miles south of
Pensacola FL
- 26.4N 88.0W
- Storm Intensity 110 mph
- Movement North-northeast or 20 degrees at 15 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Isaias is forecast to continue strengthening this morning
as it turns northward and accelerate toward the north central Gulf
Coast. Some weakening of the peak winds is possible just prior to
landfall. However, Isaias is expected to still be a dangerous
hurricane at landfall this evening across either coastal Alabama or
the western Florida Panhandle. It is important not to focus just on
the center as the wind field will expand by landfall, resulting in the
potential for significant wind impacts and a life threatening storm
surge along and to the east of where the hurricane makes landfall.

Peak storm surge inundation of 5 to 7 feet above normally dry ground
is possible near and to the east of where the center makes landfall.
Evacuation orders have been issued by some coastal counties and you
should check with your local emergency management agency for the
latest information.

Those in the hurricane warning need to prepare for damaging hurricane
force winds of 74 to 110 mph, especially across coastal Alabama and
the western Florida Panhandle. The strongest winds will occur near and
just to the east of the center. Potential impacts from these winds
include numerous downed trees and power lines, significant power
outages, and some roof damage. Tropical storm force winds will spread
well inland with hurricane force gusts likely into south central Alabama
as the center of Isaias quickly moves north.

Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are expected across southwest
ALabama, south central Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle.
Localized amounts of 10 to 15 inches are possible in bands across the
Florida Panhandle and near the center track of the storm. Areas of
flooding are likely if the higher amounts are realized, with
considerable impacts possible. Several rivers across the region are
forecast to reach moderate flood stage with the potential of some
rivers reaching major flood stage. In addition, a favorable environment
for tornadoes will also develop to the east of the track as it moves
inland Friday night through early Saturday morning. The greatest threat
will be across the western Florida Panhandle and south central Alabama.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible extensive
impacts across the western Florida panhandle portions of coastal
Alabama and coasts. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding
accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings,
with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating
debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
- Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
- Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many
small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive
impacts across the western Florida Panhandle and portions of
southwest Alabama. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across interior southwest Alabama.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across northwest Florida and south central Alabama. Potential
impacts include:
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across southwest Alabama.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across all of southwest and south central Alabama
and the western Florida panhandle. Potential impacts include:
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited
to significant impacts across interior areas of southwest and south
central Alabama.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Evacuation orders have been issued across some coastal counties.
Follow the advice of local officials and check with local emergency
management for the latest information.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible.
Allow extra time to reach your destination. Many roads and bridges
will be closed once strong winds arrive. Check the latest weather
forecast before departing and drive with caution.

Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.

Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or mobilecountyema.gov
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or myescambia.com/beready
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or myokaloosa.com/emergency-management
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 10 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

Reproduced in full from the National Weather Service.

High Surf Warning

From Oct 9, 7:00 AM · through Oct 11, 12:00 AM

High Surf Warning issued October 9 at 4:08AM CDT until October 11 at 12:00AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

Read the full statement
National Weather Service · High Surf Warning
* WHAT...For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents.
For the High Surf Warning, dangerously large breaking waves of
6 to 10 feet developing Friday morning in the surf zone builds
to 12 to 18 feet over the Alabama beaches and 20 to 25 feet
over the northwest Florida beaches by late Friday afternoon.
These heights likely to linger through the overnight hours.
Surf begins to abate late Friday night and Saturday.

* WHERE...In Alabama, Mobile Coastal and Baldwin Coastal
Counties. In Florida, Escambia Coastal, Santa Rosa Coastal and
Okaloosa Coastal Counties.

* WHEN...For the High Rip Current Risk, through Sunday
afternoon. For the High Surf Warning, until midnight CDT
Saturday night.

* IMPACTS...Breaking waves can sweep people off jetties and
docks, and into dangerous seas. Life-threatening swimming
conditions and significant beach erosion can be expected. Rip
currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into
deeper water.

Reproduced in full from the National Weather Service.

What to do
Everyone should remain out of the water due to life-threatening
surf conditions. Stay off of jetties, piers, and other waterside
infrastructure.

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and
float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a
direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the
shore and call or wave for help.

Flood Watch

From Oct 9, 1:00 PM · through Oct 10, 1:00 PM

Flood Watch issued October 9 at 10:10AM CDT until October 10 at 1:00PM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

Read the full statement
National Weather Service · Flood Watch
* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be
possible.

* WHERE...Portions of Alabama, including the following areas, Baldwin
Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke,
Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile
Coastal, Mobile Inland, Monroe, Washington and Wilcox and northwest
Florida, including the following areas, Escambia Coastal, Escambia
Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal and
Santa Rosa Inland.

* WHEN...From 1 PM CDT this afternoon through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.
Extensive street flooding and flooding of creeks and rivers are
possible.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- Hurricane Isaias lifts northward and is expected to reach the
western Florida Panhandle as a major hurricane this evening, with
bands of heavy rain ahead of the storm spreading onshore through
the day. Isaias is expected to produce storm total rainfall
amounts of 4 to 8 inches in the watch area. Localized higher
amounts of 10 to 15 inches are possible, particularly within
banding across the Florida Panhandle and close to the center
track of the storm. Flash and urban flooding is likely across the
region, with considerable impacts possible across much of
southern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. River flooding is
also expected, some of which could be significant.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Reproduced in full from the National Weather Service.

What to do
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take quick
action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Rip Current Statement

From Oct 9, 4:08 AM · through Oct 11, 6:00 PM

Rip Current Statement issued October 9 at 4:08AM CDT until October 11 at 6:00PM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

The National Weather Service issued the same statement for this as for the High Surf Warning above.

What to do
Everyone should remain out of the water due to life-threatening
surf conditions. Stay off of jetties, piers, and other waterside
infrastructure.

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and
float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a
direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the
shore and call or wave for help.

Key messages

National Hurricane Center key messages for Hurricane Isaias.

Peak storm surge

Forecast peak storm surge inundation for Hurricane Isaias.

Surge is measured above ground level and rides on top of the tide. Read it alongside the tide curve below, not instead of it.

Radar

Reflectivity dBZ
52035506575
NEXRAD base reflectivity · 12:13 PMNEXRAD via Iowa State Mesonet + NASA GIBS
NOAA NEXRAD

Tides

Tide — Okaloosa Island

Next low 2:56 · 1.0 ft
NOWLO 4:25HI 11:30LO 2:56HI 10:05

Predictions from NOAA Tides & Currents, station 8729547, relative to MLLW.

NOAA Tides and Currents

Every reading on this page comes from the National Hurricane Center and the National Weather Service. Emerald Coast Connected is not a forecasting authority. In an emergency, follow Okaloosa County Emergency Management and local officials.